Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.044107 0.051519 0.059673 0.069292 0.080314 0.092529 0.107074
2025-04-27 0.034737 0.044852 0.057006 0.072617 0.092057 0.115384 0.145406
2025-05-04 0.026434 0.037348 0.051534 0.071165 0.097440 0.131181 0.177542
2025-05-11 0.020983 0.032148 0.047713 0.070715 0.103493 0.148110 0.212920
2025-05-18 0.016592 0.027402 0.043476 0.068692 0.106708 0.161206 0.244348
2025-05-25 0.013451 0.023812 0.040158 0.067229 0.110168 0.174629 0.277325
2025-06-01 0.011401 0.021507 0.038329 0.067588 0.116144 0.192075 0.317735
2025-06-08 0.009419 0.018903 0.035536 0.065854 0.118383 0.203759 0.350185
2025-06-15 0.008581 0.018175 0.035773 0.069170 0.129192 0.229977 0.408093
2025-06-22 0.007430 0.016623 0.034271 0.069143 0.134145 0.246871 0.452060
2025-06-29 0.006265 0.014810 0.031976 0.067282 0.135504 0.257607 0.486349
2025-07-06 0.005394 0.013439 0.030310 0.066343 0.138349 0.271059 0.526367
2025-07-13 0.005023 0.013122 0.030778 0.069776 0.150067 0.301927 0.600976
2025-07-20 0.004611 0.012632 0.030808 0.072321 0.160342 0.331109 0.675160
2025-07-27 0.003929 0.011350 0.028899 0.070482 0.161533 0.343129 0.718155
2025-08-03 0.003428 0.010416 0.027626 0.069839 0.165092 0.360017 0.771896
2025-08-10 0.002917 0.009341 0.025833 0.067742 0.165250 0.370051 0.812901
2025-08-17 0.002515 0.008471 0.024392 0.066250 0.166523 0.382397 0.859490
2025-08-24 0.002253 0.007949 0.023748 0.066580 0.171924 0.403793 0.926329
2025-08-31 0.001940 0.007198 0.022365 0.064858 0.172324 0.414462 0.971447
2025-09-07 0.001852 0.007147 0.022890 0.068122 0.184980 0.453009 1.079217
2025-09-14 0.001658 0.006694 0.022208 0.068092 0.189570 0.473924 1.150158
2025-09-21 0.001433 0.006076 0.020931 0.066256 0.189424 0.484027 1.197900